Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.407957 0.451585 0.498480 0.552725 0.613860 0.680757 0.759675
2025-05-11 0.337906 0.398138 0.467681 0.554307 0.659873 0.785033 0.945685
2025-05-18 0.300448 0.368938 0.451880 0.560520 0.700242 0.875482 1.114400
2025-05-25 0.265618 0.336827 0.426343 0.548353 0.712198 0.927290 1.235478
2025-06-01 0.246188 0.321152 0.418555 0.556118 0.748194 1.011070 1.405413
2025-06-08 0.226093 0.302151 0.403815 0.551879 0.765771 1.069442 1.543995
2025-06-15 0.212029 0.289724 0.396329 0.556095 0.794373 1.144619 1.713778
2025-06-22 0.196076 0.273152 0.381350 0.547632 0.802732 1.189501 1.840544
2025-06-29 0.183009 0.259561 0.369329 0.542043 0.814163 1.239055 1.978826
2025-07-06 0.166930 0.240357 0.347550 0.519616 0.796955 1.241094 2.037339
2025-07-13 0.160092 0.234359 0.344937 0.526406 0.826396 1.320613 2.236391
2025-07-20 0.153667 0.228481 0.341965 0.532148 0.854221 1.399448 2.442579
2025-07-27 0.147100 0.222089 0.337944 0.536176 0.880058 1.478318 2.660563
2025-08-03 0.140414 0.215084 0.332467 0.537331 0.901009 1.550591 2.875300
2025-08-10 0.135312 0.210241 0.330070 0.543352 0.930786 1.641341 3.137305
2025-08-17 0.127192 0.199967 0.318020 0.531610 0.927153 1.668924 3.273427
2025-08-24 0.123293 0.196418 0.316953 0.539103 0.959600 1.768489 3.573472
2025-08-31 0.117639 0.189573 0.309807 0.535013 0.969562 1.824473 3.785701
2025-09-07 0.113785 0.185554 0.307255 0.539080 0.995488 1.914887 4.086876
2025-09-14 0.108224 0.178273 0.298528 0.530914 0.996387 1.953371 4.272524
2025-09-21 0.103481 0.172169 0.291533 0.525520 1.002352 2.002971 4.491157
2025-09-28 0.096625 0.161991 0.276643 0.503874 0.973121 1.973533 4.511533
2025-10-05 0.094296 0.159786 0.276168 0.510428 1.003369 2.078244 4.884514